Dear Sir & Madam,

find here your Emission News 02-2016 with practical information about emission trading for operators and aviation industry. Free of charge or paid you will get actual information around the following topics Monitoring Concept, ETS Report System, Verification, Portfoliomanagement and Consulting, DEHSt-Registry-Services, Auctioning, Purchase and Sale EUA, aEUA, CER, ERU Certificates.

 
 
 

The Predictability of EUA Volatility at the Beginning of a Year - Emissions Limits in Construction Plans Threaten Systemerators

 
 
 

Since many years, January and February use to be the months where potential gamblers make a lot of money in the EUA market, systematically and in a big style. This way of action which can be observed for 6 years already since 2011 - with one (half) exception in 2015 - could mean a chance for ordinary market participants like system operators but can also mean a high risk if the participation in the trade started at the wrong moment. Price fluctuations at an average of 33.2% having been observed in the years 2012-2016 took place exclusively in January/ February. A clear explanation of this fact is that the high surplus of up to 2.4 billion EU-ETA certificates is laying to a big extent in the hands of professional gamblers who either push the price upwards or downwards. How this development took place and continues in January 2016 is explained in the <link fileadmin emissionshaendler dateien emissionsbriefe co2-emission_news_en__02-2016_eua_gambling_early_in_the_year_gelb.pdf>Emission News 02-2016 of Emissionshändler.com®.
We furthermore add a guest column of Attorney Dr. Marc Rutloff. He reports about an expanding method to fix emissions restrictions in construction plans. These restrictions may include a sudden reduction of the acting radius of local system operators.

 
 
 

Kind regards

Michael Kroehnert
Emissionshändler.com

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